messages : 4161 Inscrit le : 09/09/2009 Localisation : Royaume Uni Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Actualités au Moyen Orient Dim 19 Jan 2020 - 22:09
Rappel du premier message :
RecepIvedik a écrit:
C'est comme ça .. On est en 2020 ça va très vite .. c'est la fibre ..
Rappelle toi que pour les S400 tu m'a dis la même chose et aujourd'hui ils sont en Turquie prêt à l'emploi .
Bien entendu qu'avant de lâcher le moindre morceau du gateau l'oncle Donald, il a essayé de neutraliser la Turquie ..
Malgré tout ce que tu cites. La Turquie a-t-elle décidé de s'imposer en Libye ? oui ... Donc tout ça ça marche pas avec la Turquie . Elle est toujours là en 2020 et toujours puissante voire plus ..
Les sanctions CAATSA elles ont été votés . Ils ont menacés de les appliquer.. L'ont ils fait ? Non.
Ils ont dit on arrête la production des pieces du F35 ... Ils viennent d'annoncer qu'ils ont aucune solution et que les pièces seront produites en Turquie jusqu'au moins fin 2020 ...
Ce que tu dis c'est du sentimentalisme.
Moi je regarde les faits . Je les additionne je les soustraits et je sors mes conneries ...
Cher ami vous n'avez pas de quoi être fière la Turquie comme le Quatar et les uae vous êtes de simple fonctionnaires dans la région, vous faites ce qu'on vous demande on sait très bien que les usa et les européens peuvent vous paralyser économiquement facilement, toute votre industries et armement est basé sur la collaboration avec eux donc sans leurs bénédiction et celle d'Israël vous n'êtes pas plus que l'Égypte ou les pays du Nord d'Afrique,
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Jeu 22 Avr 2021 - 14:05
https://twitter.com/IsraelArabic/status/1385188629115461634 a écrit:
Ca se rapproche tout doucement..
_________________ Le courage croît en osant et la peur en hésitant.
Adam Modérateur
messages : 6300 Inscrit le : 25/03/2009 Localisation : Royaume pour tous les Marocains Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Mar 4 Mai 2021 - 16:01
Ryan Bohl - Stratfor / New Lines Institute a écrit:
Saudi Arabia & UAE: Competition Among Allies
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have historically boasted close ties, but as the two countries simultaneously attempt to diversify their economies away from hydrocarbons, the countries will increasingly be in competition for limited resources in sectors such as tourism and defense.
Saudi Arabia’s and the United Arab Emirates’ diverging regional interests appear poised to be reinforced by increasing economic competition, a split that, if adroitly managed by the United States, can be used as leverage to improve human rights, and manage Saudi and Emirati regional behavior. As their post-oil economic models increasingly overlap, the countries will find themselves in a race for tourists, investment dollars, and high-quality laborers.
Saudi Arabia announced Feb. 16 that companies would soon risk losing access to lucrative Saudi government contracts if they did not relocate their regional headquarters to Saudi Arabia itself — a move that could be interpreted as an attempt to undercut the UAE’s dominance as the business hub of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Whether that policy ends up being so draconian remains to be seen, given the likely pushback from companies long in the UAE, but what is increasingly clear is that in a region racing toward a post-hydrocarbon future, the UAE and Saudi Arabia’s overlapping diversification schemes are assured to bring about more economic competition.
Strategically, the Saudis and Emiratis have much in common. They both worry about the development of Iran’s nuclear program and Tehran’s regional influence, with both sides exposed to potential Iranian attack and the United Arab Emirates hosting a large Iranian diaspora whose loyalty has in the past been questioned by Emirati authorities. They are both seeking to escape the shackles of rentier economics into a post-hydrocarbon future before the global market makes oil unprofitable. They are dominated by powerful royal personalities — Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Saudi Arabia and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed in Abu Dhabi — who both agree that regional reform does not include political liberalization. These commonalities have propelled a close relationship both between the two rulers — the Emirati crown prince has been a mentor to his younger Saudi counterpart — and their countries’ foreign policies.
The countries do not fully align on all regional priorities. The Saudis and Emiratis have diverged on Yemen policy as the UAE pulls away from military and diplomatic exposure to the conflict – leaving Riyadh to manage the fallout. The Emiratis have been bolder in Libya, backing warlord Khalifa Haftar, while the Saudis have largely sat the conflict out. And even on Qatar, the Saudis were quicker to push for a resolution to the blockade than the UAE in early 2021. Moreover, the UAE has shown disquieting signs of regional leadership that undercut Riyadh’s typically leading role. Abu Dhabi led the charge into normalization with Israel and as a result remains the best-positioned Gulf government to receive the advanced F-35 from the United States. The tight coordination that appeared in 2016-2017 after the ascension of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has weakened.
Moreover, their simultaneous scramble to build post-oil economies is increasingly bringing the two countries into competition. One of the most immediate competitive venues is tourism, particularly the non-Hajj sector, where medium- and high-income tourists seek beaches, resorts, and Arabian adventure. While Dubai, the heart of the UAE’s tourist industry, is currently light years ahead of Saudi Arabia, the nature of both Dubai’s brand and tourism in general means that Saudi Arabia will have a chance to catch up and even steal away the mantle of tourist powerhouse. Dubai’s high-end luxury brand prizes its modernity and technological edge, but some of its earliest tourist mega-projects, like the Burj al-Arab, completed in 2000, are already appearing stylistically dated, requiring major innovations and updates to restore their luster that will likely necessitate outside financing. The UAE is also steadily introducing taxes like VAT, which while currently refundable nevertheless drive up the base costs of visiting the UAE, undermining the sticker price competitiveness of the emirate. These types of taxes are only set to grow as the UAE modernizes its finances, driving up the cost of tourism, particularly in cash-strapped Dubai, which exhausted its oil reserves decades ago. That said, the VAT tax is still very low compared to other places and a cost of doing business for foreigners who seek to avoid the restricted lifestyle in the Saudi kingdom.
With the luster of the UAE’s tourist industry poised to fade, Saudi Arabia may move aggressively into the regional space, trying to lure tourists away from the Emirates and toward its own brand of luxury tourism. Jeddah Tower, due to be the world’s tallest if finished — the project has been on hold since 2018 in part because of fallout from the 2017 Saudi purge — is squarely aimed at taking eyes off the current record holder, the Burj Khalifa in Dubai. Numerous Red Sea resorts, malls throughout the country’s urban centers, and recreational activities are being built that are strikingly similar to existing amenities in the UAE. Qiddiya, the entertainment mega-center to be built in Riyadh, will, if fully completed, have water parks, golf courses, roller coasters, and other amenities that could undercut the edge of the UAE’s own entertainment centers. Unlike Dubai, Saudi Arabia’s still-flush sovereign wealth fund and willingness to dip into its Public Investment Fund means it can both invest in long-shot infrastructure and subsidize ventures to compete on price against the Emirates.
Saudi Arabia also has natural advantages the UAE cannot compete with. Saudi Arabia’s hajj tourism is already deeply developed, with millions coming from both within Saudi Arabia and abroad to visit the holy cities of Mecca and Medina. Its long history sitting on major trade routes has left a historical legacy the UAE lacks; ancient Al Ula, built in the first century, for example, rivals Jordan’s Petra in tourist potential.
Investment dollars are another competitive angle, particularly as investors weigh similar projects in both countries. Here the UAE has an institutional advantage, with business-friendly regulations pushing it high on the World Bank’s 2020 Ease of Doing Business rankings to 16th globally. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, was 62nd, as its regulations, legal system, and credit facilities lagged. Even so, the Saudis are making rapid strides: in 2018, they were ranked 92nd. New legal reforms and regulatory changes are rapidly making it easier to start up a business in the kingdom, and with the political will of the crown prince behind Vision 2030, more reforms are likely. That will likely close the gap between investment climates for the two, and with so much overlap in their tourist and diversification strategies, investors will weigh the comparative benefits of one country over the other.
To compete, Saudi Arabia will likely enact policies that will incidentally undercut the UAE, like its headquarters announcement, as it chases similar industries. But the UAE is unlikely to stand still: It too will reform its investment climate to further compete, seeking a comparative advantage over Saudi Arabia to maintain its own post-oil development strategy, while a potential boon in Israel-UAE economic ties will include transport, energy, defense, and financial deals that are still out of reach for Saudi Arabia.
They will also compete in the defense sector, with Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI) taking on the UAE’s own Emirates Defense Industries Company (EDIC) — but Riyadh, short of its own normalization process, will lack the UAE’s access to advanced Israeli military technologies.
Additionally, as Saudi Arabia reforms its economy, it will need highly skilled foreign workers to plug the gaps in its labor market as its own native Saudis go through retraining and its education system slowly reforms. Sectoral overlap in development plans will again play a role here: Highly skilled scientists, technicians, business people, and investors will be sought after by both countries, with the two seeking to provide strong enough incentives to attract the talent they need. Both sides have already issued specialized visas to try to bring in highly skilled workers, and the UAE has even gone so far as to offer the prospect of citizenship — a rare commodity in the GCC — to encourage top talent to make the emirates their full-time home.
Reforms to the labor market are one thing, but so too is lifestyle, with expatriates seeking the freewheeling social norms of Dubai, something Saudi Arabia is now actively chasing through social reforms designed to reduce the power of the long-standing Wahhabi religious establishment. In this competition toward a Gulf Arab form of social liberalism, the UAE’s smaller population and less complicated political scene offer it an advantage, but Saudi Arabia may try to offset its disadvantage through greater monetary incentives such as exempting certain workers from taxes or licensing fees or by using more strong-arm tactics to undermine businesses based in the UAE to convince them to relocate workers to Saudi Arabia.
This economic competition, overlaid with other strategic divergences, will add to a loosening of ties between Abu Dhabi and Riyadh. They are already adjusting to the post-Trump Middle East in which their risk profiles for U.S. pressure are different (the UAE, for example, does not have the same level of congressional focus on its human rights record, nor has its intervention in Libya created as many political waves in the United States as Saudi Arabia’s Yemen military operations). But now they will also find ways to undercut one another’s development plans during the post-pandemic global recovery.
This economic competition will also make both more sensitive to diplomatic and economic sentiment surrounding their national policies. In the immediate term, the United States is most likely to emerge as a threat to this sentiment, with criticism of their respective human rights records, especially Saudi Arabia’s, likely to spook investors and businesses and drive them in the direction of whichever country appears least likely to incur sanctions. At the moment, that is Saudi Arabia, but the UAE’s own human rights record and regional activities in Yemen and Libya have also drawn U.S. ire. Aggressive regional behavior by either country will also have an effect: Should the UAE, for example, consider overtly pressuring its GCC rival Qatar to hew closer to Abu Dhabi’s regional policies on political Islam, it will face backlash from the United States that could benefit Saudi Arabia.
Both countries will need a greater sense of stability across the Persian Gulf with Iran, as investors worry that either country’s policies could inflame tensions and ratchet up the possibilities of Iranian retaliation striking targets in Saudi Arabia or the UAE, undermining their hawkishness toward Iran. Moreover, while both countries will continue to diversify their relations with China, Chinese economic ties are likely to shift in the direction of whichever country appears poised to be more economically successful, shifting with sentiment rather than trying to strategically alter it to offset pressure on either country.
While the deep bonds that underpin Saudi-Emirati ties will remain, competition over limited investment dollars, workers, tourists, and business deals will alter their relationship. In this competitive space, not only will they try to lure business away from one another, but they may even be tempted to repeat the kinds of public relations and economic campaigns they have taken against other, more overt rivals in the region, like Qatar and Oman.
_________________ Les peuples ne meurent jamais de faim mais de honte.
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Mar 25 Mai 2021 - 1:09
https://twitter.com/SecBlinken/status/1396963945232183307 a écrit:
Blinken et le MAE emirati Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed se sont entretenus, Blinken a remercié les UAE pour leurs efforts afin d'arriver à un cessez-le-feu à Gaza et à souligner l'importance de la reconstruction de Gaza
_________________ Le courage croît en osant et la peur en hésitant.
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eiffel65 Aspirant
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Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Mar 25 Mai 2021 - 17:41
Les saoudien fermé l'espace aérien au avion Israélien
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Jeu 27 Mai 2021 - 23:58
https://news.walla.co.il/item/3438276 a écrit:
L'interview qu'a donné Blinken à Barak Ravid pour ce médias Israéliens (Walla news), il déclare entre autres que les US vont garder leur consulat à Jérusalem, de plus il a déclaré que le seul moyen aujourd'hui d'affaiblir le hamas et de donner des opportunités aux Gazaoui...
Secrétaire d'État américain: Comprenez la nécessité de renvoyer des troupes, mais donnez également de l'espoir à Gaza Dans une interview spéciale avec Walla! Blinken a déclaré que le moyen d'affaiblir le Hamas est de donner des opportunités au peuple de Gaza. Il a dit qu'il avait averti les dirigeants israéliens que l'évacuation des Palestiniens de Sheikh Jarrah ou les troubles sur le mont du Temple pourraient conduire à une reprise de la guerre. Selon lui, la crise politique rend difficile la promotion d'une nouvelle initiative de paix Le secrétaire d'État américain Anthony Blinken a déclaré dans une interview à Walla! À la fin de sa première visite au Moyen-Orient, il s'est dit préoccupé par les hauts responsables du gouvernement israélien que l'évacuation des familles palestiniennes de Cheikh Jarrah ou une nouvelle tension sur le mont du Temple pourrait conduire à une reprise de la violence et même à la guerre. Il a souligné que les États-Unis comprennent la nécessité de renvoyer les prisonniers israéliens et les personnes disparues à Gaza dans leurs foyers, mais a objecté que ce serait une condition pour la réhabilitation de la bande. "Gaza a des besoins urgents et nous devons leur redonner de l'espoir - c'est le seul moyen d'empêcher une nouvelle guerre", a-t-il déclaré. Blinken m'a appelé de son avion alors qu'il partait d'Amman, qui était la dernière étape de sa visite dans la région pour retourner à Washington. Avant la conversation avec moi, il s'est entretenu avec Linken avec les ministres des Affaires étrangères de l'Arabie saoudite et du Qatar. Il les a informés de ses entretiens en Israël et dans l'Autorité palestinienne et leur a demandé de se mobiliser pour la réhabilitation de la bande de Gaza - entre autres par des dons financiers. Le Qatar a déjà annoncé mercredi une contribution d'un demi-milliard de dollars à cette fin. Le Premier ministre Benjamin Netanyahu lors d'une réunion avec le secrétaire d'État américain Anthony Blinken, au bureau du Premier ministre à Jérusalem. Haim Tzach, Service de presse gouvernemental Au cours de l'interview, Blinken a déclaré que sa principale conclusion de sa visite dans la région et de la crise à Gaza est que le conflit israélo-palestinien est toujours d'actualité et doit être résolu. Cependant, il a précisé que l'administration Biden, à ce stade, ne pense pas que les conditions sont réunies pour des progrès significatifs dans le processus de paix, principalement en raison de la crise politique en Israël et de la situation politique interne de l'Autorité palestinienne. Blinkan a précisé que malgré la décision de rouvrir le consulat américain à Jérusalem qui a fermé pendant le mandat du président Trump, l'administration Biden ne s'est pas retirée de la reconnaissance de Jérusalem comme capitale d'Israël. "L'ouverture du consulat est également dans l'intérêt d'Israël car nous pouvons ainsi promouvoir des questions importantes pour Israël", a-t-il déclaré. Qu'est-ce que vous emportez avec vous à Washington de cette visite, lui ai-je demandé. "Je pense que ma principale conclusion des dernières semaines est que le conflit israélo-palestinien reste un problème qui doit être résolu et il ne va pas disparaître miraculeusement", a déclaré Blinken. "Je pense que toutes les parties concernées doivent reconnaître cette réalité." Il a déclaré que la question la plus urgente à résoudre était la stabilisation du cessez-le-feu à Gaza et la construction d'infrastructures pour réduire les tensions en Cisjordanie et à Jérusalem. Il a raconté des expériences similaires qu'il a entendues de la part d'Israéliens et de Palestiniens qui se sont retrouvés avec leurs enfants sous le feu du récent conflit. "Un cessez-le-feu n'est pas seulement une fin en soi", a déclaré le secrétaire d'État américain. "C'est aussi un moyen de créer un espace qui permettra d'améliorer un peu la situation." Estime que les parties ne sont pas mûres pour une percée politique J'ai rappelé à Blinken qu'au cours des quatre premiers mois de Biden à la Maison Blanche, l'administration américaine avait fait de la question israélo-palestinienne une faible priorité et espérait y remédier au minimum. Vous avez fait une erreur en n'y consacrant pas plus de temps plus tôt, lui ai-je demandé. Blinkan a rejeté la critique. Il a affirmé que quelques semaines après l'entrée en fonction de Biden, l'administration avait commencé à renouer avec l'Autorité palestinienne et à lui rendre une aide économique. Dans le même souffle, il a déclaré que la faible priorité accordée à la question dans les premiers mois de l'administration était due au fait que les conditions des deux côtés n'étaient pas mûres pour une percée politique. Il a noté que les deux parties doivent renouveler la confiance et prendre de nombreuses autres mesures avant que des progrès significatifs puissent être réalisés. "Et il y a aussi la réalité politique en Israël et dans l'Autorité palestinienne", a ajouté Blinken. << Il y a de l'incertitude en Israël en raison de la question de savoir si un nouveau gouvernement sera formé maintenant ou s'il y aura un autre tour des élections. Dans une atmosphère électorale et en période électorale, ce n'est pas le moment d'aller de l'avant sur les questions fondamentales de la Conflit israélo-palestinien. L'Autorité palestinienne a reporté les élections. Plus positif, je pense qu'il est difficile de voir l'utilité de pousser une nouvelle initiative hors de la boîte. " Le secrétaire d'État américain a déclaré que lors de ses entretiens avec de hauts responsables du gouvernement israélien, il avait entendu parler de leur désir de faire en sorte que le cessez-le-feu à Gaza dure. Il a ajouté que lors de ses entretiens en Égypte, il avait entendu du président al-Sissi et d'autres responsables égyptiens que le Hamas était également intéressé par le maintien du cessez-le-feu. "C'est très important, mais une autre chose importante est de ne pas prendre de mesures qui pourraient déclencher involontairement ou intentionnellement une nouvelle vague de violence", a déclaré Blinken. << Nous avons fait part à Israël de notre inquiétude face aux actions qui pourraient déclencher des tensions, des conflits ou des guerres, et saper davantage la solution à deux États, comme l'évacuation des Palestiniens des maisons dans lesquelles ils vivent depuis des décennies, voire plusieurs générations, des démolitions de maisons et tout ce qui y est lié. à la situation sur le mont du Temple. " Qu'est-ce que les Israéliens vous ont dit à ce sujet, ai-je demandé. "Je vais les laisser dire ce qu'ils ont l'intention de faire à ce sujet", a-t-il répondu. "Lors de ses entretiens à Ramallah avec le président de l'Autorité palestinienne Mahmoud Abbas, il a évoqué la nécessité de mettre fin à l'incitation à la haine contre Israël, de prévenir la violence et de prendre des mesures contre le terrorisme, et d'arrêter le paiement des allocations aux familles des terroristes." C'est une question très problématique, "Il a dit." Aucune des deux parties ne prend aucune mesure qui pourrait mettre le feu à la zone. " L'un des principaux problèmes que Linken essaie de promouvoir est la réhabilitation de la bande de Gaza. Il a souligné que la reconstruction devait être menée en collaboration avec l'ONU, l'Autorité palestinienne et l'Égypte et d'une manière qui aiderait les résidents mais ne ferait pas de bénéfices au Hamas. Il s'agit d'un objectif plutôt ambitieux, en particulier à la lumière de la clarification d'Israël selon laquelle il ne permettra pas la bande de Gaza Les citoyens israéliens détenus par le Hamas. La politique d'Israël visant à importer des marchandises à Gaza a également été exacerbée par celle qui a précédé la flottille de Gaza en 2010, lorsque le coordinateur des opérations dans les territoires a décidé d'empêcher l'entrée de poudre de cacao à Gaza au motif qu'il ne s'agissait pas d'un besoin humanitaire. "Nous comprenons parfaitement la nécessité de ramener les corps des soldats et des civils israéliens chez eux et si nous avons un moyen d'aider, nous le ferons", a déclaré Blinken. "En même temps, je pense qu'il y a des besoins urgents pour beaucoup de gens à Gaza qui doivent être satisfaits. En fin de compte, l'un des meilleurs moyens d'éviter que ce qui s'est passé ne se reproduise est de donner aux gens de Gaza espoir, horizons et opportunités. I Je pense qu'à un moment donné, les gens à Gaza comprendront que lorsque des choses positives se produiront "et que le Hamas mène des actions qui le détruisent. Ils attribueront la responsabilité au Hamas de ne pas donner aux Palestiniens autre chose que de la souffrance." Il a déclaré que le Hamas prospérait du fait que les habitants de Gaza n'avaient ni espoir ni opportunités. << La meilleure façon d'affaiblir le Hamas est de donner des opportunités au peuple de Gaza et de faire en sorte que l'Autorité palestinienne joue un rôle et donne de l'espoir au peuple de Gaza. Je pense que cela a un sens stratégique profond en plus de son importance sur un au niveau humain », a déclaré le secrétaire d'État américain. L'une des mesures importantes de Blinken lors de sa visite en Israël a été l'annonce de la réouverture par les États-Unis dès que possible du consulat américain à Jérusalem fermé par le président Trump. Le Premier ministre Netanyahu a exprimé des réserves sur le déménagement à Blinken, mais il semble qu'il est sur le point de le mettre en œuvre dans un proche avenir. "Le consulat est une plate-forme pour renouveler les liens des Etats-Unis avec les Palestiniens - non seulement avec le gouvernement mais aussi avec le peuple. Je pense que c'est aussi important pour l'intérêt israélien", a déclaré le secrétaire d'Etat américain. "L'ouverture du consulat permettra à nos messages de résonner beaucoup plus auprès du public palestinien et de promouvoir des choses qui serviront également les intérêts d'Israël." Blinkan a précisé que l'ouverture du consulat ne change rien à la reconnaissance américaine de Jérusalem comme capitale d'Israël ou à la relocalisation de l'ambassade américaine à Jérusalem. Il a souligné que cela ne signifie pas que les États-Unis reconnaissent Jérusalem comme la capitale palestinienne et a noté que toute cette question devrait être réglée dans le cadre de négociations entre Israël et l'Autorité palestinienne. "Je ne pense pas qu'il y ait lieu de s'inquiéter ici. Au contraire. Je pense que cela profitera à tout le monde. Je pense que si nous ne sommes pas en contact avec les Palestiniens, cela nuira à notre capacité de promouvoir des choses qui profiteront à tout le monde - y compris Israël. " a écrit:
Une interview qui globalement fait écho à cet article publié par ledesk plutôt...
https://ledesk.ma/enclair/comment-israel-veut-amener-hamas-se-plier-aux-accords-dabraham/ a écrit:
_________________ Le courage croît en osant et la peur en hésitant.
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Adam Modérateur
messages : 6300 Inscrit le : 25/03/2009 Localisation : Royaume pour tous les Marocains Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Ven 28 Mai 2021 - 15:56
Bachar el-Assad élu pour un quatrième mandat avec 95% des voix..
_________________ Les peuples ne meurent jamais de faim mais de honte.
Fahed64 Administrateur
messages : 25526 Inscrit le : 31/03/2008 Localisation : Pau-Marrakech Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Ven 28 Mai 2021 - 16:01
Un non évènement
La Syrie est divisé pour au moins 1 génération !
_________________ Sois généreux avec nous, Ô toi Dieu et donne nous la Victoire
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Adam Modérateur
messages : 6300 Inscrit le : 25/03/2009 Localisation : Royaume pour tous les Marocains Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Sam 29 Mai 2021 - 18:25
Le parti islamiste israélien, RA'AM, négocie son entrée au gouvernement avec les deux extrêmes droites Likoud et Yamina ...
_________________ Les peuples ne meurent jamais de faim mais de honte.
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Mar 8 Juin 2021 - 21:35
https://www.axios.com/biden-middle-east-envoy-gabi-ashkenazi-3eeb37b6-0800-4938-86ac-3e6ced7c5c3d.html a écrit:
L'administration Biden devrait bientôt nommé un envoyé spécial pour le moyen-orient celui-ci aura pour charge de ''renforcer'' les Accord d'Abraham déjà établi et de promouvoir la normalisation entre les pays arabes et Israel...
_________________ Le courage croît en osant et la peur en hésitant.
Shugan188 Modérateur
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Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Dim 13 Juin 2021 - 15:31
Inside the palace intrigue in Jordan and a thwarted ‘deal of the century’
David Ignatius 15 - 19 minutes
Abdullah’s troubles erupted into public view in early April, when the king’s security forces detained three prominent Jordanians he suspected of plotting to destabilize his regime: Prince Hamzah, the former crown prince groomed by his American-born mother for the throne; Sharif Hassan bin Zaid, a relative of the king and a powerful tribal leader; and Bassem Awadallah, a former Jordanian minister who had become a confidant of the Saudi crown prince, who’s often known by his initials, MBS.
A Jordanian prosecutor referred charges against bin Zaid and Awadallah to the State Security Court on June 2, but the details weren’t disclosed publicly. A Jordanian investigative report on the case, shared with me by a knowledgeable former Western intelligence official, claims that the alleged plotters’ actions “do not amount to a coup in the legal and political sense, but they were an attempt to threaten Jordan’s stability and incite sedition.”
Hamzah wasn’t charged. The investigative report says he and his family “are at their home under His Majesty’s [Abdullah’s] care.” The report argues that Hamzah had “never accepted” his 2004 removal as crown prince and sought to “present himself as an alternative” to his half brother, the king.
The Jordanian report continues: “Awadallah was working to promote the ‘deal of the century’ and weaken Jordan’s position and the King’s position on Palestine and the Hashemite Custodianship of Islamic and Christian holy sites in Jerusalem.”
Hamzah, bin Zaid and Awadallah couldn’t be reached for comment, and efforts to contact attorneys who speak publicly on their behalf weren’t successful.
The Jordanian turmoil surprised observers, some of whom suspected that Abdullah was overreacting to family politics. But a careful reconstruction of the story, gathered from U.S., British, Saudi, Israeli and Jordanian sources, shows that the pressure on the king was real and had been building since Trump began pushing for his mega-peace plan, with Netanyahu and MBS as key allies. In retrospect, this was a plot hiding in plain sight.
Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law and chief adviser on the negotiations, embraced Netanyahu and MBS — but grew increasingly antagonistic toward the Jordanian king. “It became a belief of Trump that the king was a hindrance to the peace process,” says one former senior CIA official. While Trump, Netanyahu and MBS don’t appear to have been working to overthrow the king, their actions clearly weakened him and encouraged his enemies.
Image without a caption
Trump’s campaign for normalization of Arab relations with Israel was laudable. It yielded the so-called Abraham Accords that forged new links between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco. But the prize Trump and Kushner wanted most was Saudi Arabia — and to clear the way, they tried to muscle Jordan, for decades one of the United States’ closest Arab allies.
Now the winds have shifted: Trump has left office, and Netanyahu appears to be on his way out. Jordan is back in favor, and Abdullah’s advisers say he will visit the White House this summer, the first Arab leader to meet personally with President Biden. MBS is in limbo with the Biden administration and still awaiting a presidential phone call or invitation.
This account of the palace intrigue is drawn from discussions with 10 current or former officials with detailed knowledge of events there. They requested anonymity to describe sensitive intelligence information about one of the least visible but potentially most destabilizing power plays in the Middle East in recent years.
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At the center of this story is Jerusalem, Israel’s political capital and a religious treasure for Christians and Muslims, as well as Jews. The Hashemite monarchy in Jordan owes much of its legitimacy to its role as custodian of the al-Aqsa Mosque there. Abdullah has described protection of the Muslim holy shrine as a “red line” for Jordan. Over the past three years, Abdullah felt that Trump, Netanyahu and MBS were all trying to displace him from that role, according to an American who knows the king well.
Until Trump’s last day in the White House in January, Kushner kept pushing for a breakthrough that would allow a hesitant MBS and Saudi Arabia to embrace normalization, according to several knowledgeable officials. By that time, the Jordanians had gathered a dossier of intercepted messages from the alleged plotters that, the Jordanian document contends, showed “incitement against the political regime” and “actions that would … create sedition.” The deal of the century was a distant memory.
The pressure on Abdullah began with his coronation in 1999, following the death of his father, the charismatic and cunning King Hussein. For all Hussein’s courtly charm, he had reigned on a perpetual hot seat, surviving multiple coup plots, assassination attempts and power plays from his neighbors. A 1994 peace treaty with Israel gave the kingdom Israeli in addition to U.S. protection. But Abdullah inherited the same delicate balancing act that had led Hussein to title his memoirs “Uneasy Lies the Head” [that wears the crown].
Abdullah soon became a darling of the West. With his stylish and freethinking wife, Queen Rania, he was a symbol of young, modernizing, pro-Western leadership in the Arab world. He met each summer with the United States’ business and political elite at a gathering sponsored by Allen & Co. in Sun Valley, Idaho. He embodied U.S. and Israeli hopes for peace and moderate Islam in the Middle East.
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Abdullah’s relations with Saudi Arabia were more complicated. The Hashemite dynasty had once ruled Mecca and Medina, but now, transplanted to resource-poor Jordan, it needed regular cash infusions from the House of Saud and other Persian Gulf monarchies to survive. Saudi King Abdullah, who reigned from 2005 to 2015, was generous. Riyadh’s interest in Amman was “stability, stability, stability,” recalls a Saudi intelligence source.
The Jordanian monarch’s status as the United States’ best friend in the Arab world began to change with the rise of MBS, after his father, King Salman, took the Saudi throne in 2015. MBS was an instant celebrity in the United States, with his Vision 2030 plan for modernizing his kingdom, his moves to curtail the Saudi religious establishment, and his brash charm.
The MBS bandwagon accelerated when Trump became president in 2017 and made Riyadh his first stop overseas. MBS was touted as a reformer, even as he was suppressing the rights of dissidents and female activists. His power grab became more ruthless in 2017, when he purged a rival as crown prince and jailed more than a hundred prominent Saudis at the Ritz-Carlton hotel until they swore allegiance and turned over some of their cash. Then came the gruesome murder of a dissident journalist, Post Global Opinions contributing columnist Jamal Khashoggi, in October 2018, a mission the CIA says was approved by MBS.
Joining the MBS entourage was Awadallah, a Jordanian who had served as minister of planning and chief of the royal court. He had become a controversial figure in Jordan, as critics argued that he had benefited financially from his closeness to the king. King Abdullah encouraged him to move to Riyadh, where he made a new start advising MBS on privatization and modernization plans. Awadallah helped preside at Davos-like gatherings, such as the 2018 Future Investment Initiative forum, held just three weeks after Khashoggi’s murder.
According to a Saudi source who spoke with a friend of Awadallah, the Jordanian told the Saudi friend that MBS exclaimed after their first meeting: “Why haven’t I met you before?” The implicit message, argues the Saudi source, was: Now, you’re mine.
By 2018, the Jordanian monarch had become concerned that MBS’s new prominence was coming at Jordan’s expense. During a February 2018 visit to Amman, I heard that worry from senior Jordanian officials. They feared that Jordan, after so many years as a loyal partner, was being displaced because of Trump’s infatuation with MBS and the Saudis — and his eagerness for the “ultimate deal” on the Israeli-Palestinian problem, despite Jordanian misgivings.
Trump in May 2018 officially moved the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem, over King Abdullah’s strong objections. That move, coupled with Jordan’s perennial economic woes, led to street protests in June 2018. A worried Saudi King Salman joined other Gulf leaders in pledging up to $2.5 billion in emergency aid. But the Jordanians say most of that money was never delivered.
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Kushner, a real estate tycoon, hoped that economic incentives could persuade the Palestinians (and Jordanians) to support Trump’s peace bid. Kushner unveiled his economic proposals at a conference dubbed “Peace to Prosperity” in Bahrain on June 25 and 26, 2019. His hope was that the Palestinians would eventually accept a limited form of sovereignty, and a different formula for control of Jerusalem, in return for financial largesse.
King Abdullah traveled to Washington in March 2019 for a briefing on the plan. That same month, he made sharp public statements in opposition. In remarks captured in a March 21, 2019, YouTube video, translated by The Post from Arabic, Abdullah said: “I will never change my position on Jerusalem … regardless of what other people say. We have a historical duty toward Jerusalem and the holy sites. … Is there pressure on me from abroad? There is pressure on me from abroad. But, to me, this is a red line.”
Abdullah was even more emphatic in an interview captured in a YouTube video dated March 26, 2019, and translated by The Post. “I, as a Hashemite, how could I backtrack or let go of Jerusalem? Impossible. ... People talk about the ‘deal of the century,’ or an alternative homeland. How? Do we not get a voice?”
Kushner’s dream was that Saudi and other Arab support for his plan would overwhelm Jordanian and Palestinian opposition. That hope might have been bolstered by an op-ed in the Israeli newspaper Haaretz on July 3, 2019, soon after the Bahrain conference, by Malik Dahlan, a Saudi lawyer in London who is a close confidant of Prince Hamzah.
Dahlan argued that “the costs may be severe” if the Kushner plan collapsed. “If it does fail, it is likely to bring down the [Saudi-sponsored] Arab Peace Initiative with it and end all newfound regional momentum towards peace. That would be a catastrophe.”
The Saudi lawyer then outlined a compromise formula that would begin “with an agreement on the governance of Jerusalem. ... This Jerusalem-first approach would involve the idea of ‘integrative internationalization,’ which, incidentally, I also prescribe for [Mecca] and Medina.” Dahlan said in a telephone interview Thursday that the “integrative internationalization” approach was meant to draw in other Islamic and Western countries but wasn’t intended to displace Jordanian or Hashemite custodianship of al-Aqsa.
As pressure increased on the Jordanian monarch at home and abroad, his security services began investigating possible threats to his regime. The evidence they gathered hasn’t yet been tested in Jordanian courts or international forums, so it’s hard to make final judgments. But the quick moves by the United States and other Western nations to embrace Abdullah after reports of the alleged plot surfaced in April suggest they took the king’s worries seriously.
The investigation began two years ago, according to the Jordanian investigative report I reviewed, which states: “In mid-2019, intel indicated Sharif Hassan bin Zaid … met with two officials from a foreign embassy to inquire about their country’s position on supporting Prince Hamzah as an alternative to the King, and Sharif Hassan continued to communicate with the embassy afterwards.” The former Western intelligence official who provided the report says he believes the embassy in question was probably that of the United States.
The Jordanian report continues: “During 2020, a number of tribal figures reached out to security agencies and brought their attention to attempts by Prince Hamzah’s aides to solicit support from them and members of their families.” By later 2020, the report notes, “intel obtained by security agencies indicated intensified communication between Prince Hamzah, Sharif Hassan and Bassem Awadallah.”
Kushner accelerated his push for Trump’s peace deal in 2020. He released the political details for a Palestinian settlement in January, but because of Palestinian resistance it was dead on arrival. More hopeful developments came in August, with the announcement of a normalization agreement between Israel and the UAE, and in September, with a similar agreement between Israel and Bahrain.
But the Jordanian monarch remained a problem. Awadallah complained to an American former intelligence officer about MBS’s frustration. “A sticking point for us is al-Aqsa. The king [Abdullah] uses that to browbeat us and keep his role in the Middle East,” Awadallah said, according to the American former official. At another point, the former official says, Awadallah had stated: “MBS is upset because he can’t get a deal because he can’t handle the reactions of Palestinians if the king holds his position on Jerusalem."
Benny Gantz, a retired chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces who was serving as Netanyahu’s defense minister, became so concerned about the deterioration in Netanyahu’s relationship with King Abdullah that he made a secret visit to Amman to reassure the king in early 2021, according to an article in All Israel News.
Gantz said later in a Zoom call with supporters: “I think Jordan is a great asset to Israel. ... Unfortunately, Netanyahu is an unwanted figure in Jordan and his presence harms the advancement of relations.” That was a sign of the Israeli security establishment’s worry about possible destabilization in Jordan.
The pace of the alleged plot accelerated in 2021, the Jordanian investigative report claims. It says that security agencies intercepted WhatsApp messages between the three alleged plotters “encouraging Prince Hamzah to ‘make a move’ and also indicated — via coded references — the involvement of other individuals and parties.”
Awadallah was said to be referred to in the intercepted WhatsApp messages as “No Lube” because he doesn’t drink, according to the former Western intelligence official. In one intercepted message, the report asserts, Awadallah said the contacts with Hamzah and the tribal leaders have support from “my boss,” presumably meaning MBS, the former official says. The report accuses Awadallah of “conspiring with foreign agendas” and seeking to “weaken” Jordan’s role as custodian of the Muslim religious sites in Jerusalem.
As Jordan struggled with the covid-19 pandemic, Hamzah increased his outreach to tribal elders and other Jordanian groups, holding more than 30 such meetings in early 2021, according to the investigative report. When Awadallah suddenly moved up a planned departure to Saudi Arabia by a week, to April 4, the authorities decided it was time to move.
Awadallah and bin Zaid were arrested April 3, along with at least a dozen others, and Hamzah was placed under what amounted to house arrest.
Prince Hassan, brother of the late King Hussein and once in line for the throne himself, brokered a family peace deal. Dahlan sent the Associated Press a statement saying that Hamzah had accepted the mediation and “I expect a resolution shortly.” He added: “Prince Hamzah has a lot to offer the Kingdom and the Arab World.”
Representatives of Israel’s intelligence and security services, Mossad and Shin Bet, sent private messages to the Jordanian monarch, disavowing any role in the alleged plot. The theme, according to a former U.S. intelligence official who has read the messages, was: “This is not us. It’s coming from in front of us” — presumably meaning Netanyahu.
King Abdullah’s advisers expect him to arrive in the United States in late June. His visit to the White House will illustrate once again a truth about members of the Hashemite dynasty: Amid the endless turmoil of Middle East politics, they are survivors.
La sortie du porte parole du porte parole du ministère des AE Israélien...
_________________ Le courage croît en osant et la peur en hésitant.
Adam Modérateur
messages : 6300 Inscrit le : 25/03/2009 Localisation : Royaume pour tous les Marocains Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Sam 19 Juin 2021 - 22:59
Le mec traîne des casseroles et pas des moindres ...
Amnesty International a écrit:
Iran: Ebrahim Raisi must be investigated for crimes against humanity
Responding to today’s announcement declaring Ebrahim Raisi as Iran’s next president, Amnesty International’s Secretary General Agnès Callamard said:
“That Ebrahim Raisi has risen to the presidency instead of being investigated for the crimes against humanity of murder, enforced disappearance and torture, is a grim reminder that impunity reigns supreme in Iran. In 2018, our organization documented how Ebrahim Raisi had been a member of the ‘death commission’ which forcibly disappeared and extrajudicially executed in secret thousands of political dissidents in Evin and Gohardasht prisons near Tehran in 1988. The circumstances surrounding the fate of the victims and the whereabouts of their bodies are, to this day, systematically concealed by the Iranian authorities, amounting to ongoing crimes against humanity.
‘As Head of the Iranian Judiciary, Ebrahim Raisi has presided over a spiralling crackdown on human rights which has seen hundreds of peaceful dissidents, human rights defenders and members of persecuted minority groups arbitrarily detained. Under his watch, the judiciary has also granted blanket impunity to government officials and security forces responsible for unlawfully killing hundreds of men, women and children and subjecting thousands of protesters to mass arrests and at least hundreds to enforced disappearance, and torture and other ill-treatment during and in the aftermath of the nationwide protests of November 2019.
“Ebrahim Raisi’s rise to the presidency follows an electoral process that was conducted in a highly repressive environment and barred women, members of religious minorities and candidates with opposing views from running for office.
“We continue to call for Ebrahim Raisi to be investigated for his involvement in past and ongoing crimes under international law, including by states that exercise universal jurisdiction.
“It is now more urgent than ever for member states of the UN Human Rights Council to take concrete steps to address the crisis of systematic impunity in Iran including by establishing an impartial mechanism to collect and analyse evidence of the most serious crimes under international law committed in Iran to facilitate fair and independent criminal proceedings.”
_________________ Les peuples ne meurent jamais de faim mais de honte.
rafi General de Division
messages : 9496 Inscrit le : 23/09/2007 Localisation : le monde Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Dim 20 Juin 2021 - 16:31
La stupidité des peuples est sans limite, mettant à la tête des nations où ils vivent, leurs futurs bourreaux. Ce devient de plus en plus difficile de trouver un pays où vivre sans risquer de le payer au prix fort tôt ou tard...
Yair Lapid le MAE Israélien va effectuer une visite aux UAE la semaine prochaine (Mardi) afin d'inaugurer l'ambassade Israélienne à Abu Dhabi. ainsi qu'un consulat à Dubai.. (Bsahthoum les F-35 )
_________________ Le courage croît en osant et la peur en hésitant.
Northrop et Adam aiment ce message
Adam Modérateur
messages : 6300 Inscrit le : 25/03/2009 Localisation : Royaume pour tous les Marocains Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Lun 21 Juin 2021 - 21:09
_________________ Les peuples ne meurent jamais de faim mais de honte.
QuickShark aime ce message
simplet General de Brigade
messages : 3183 Inscrit le : 20/05/2012 Localisation : MONTREAL Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Lun 21 Juin 2021 - 22:49
tout ca pour entretenir le train de vie d'un maximum de lobbyistes a Washington
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"Tu ne sais jamais à quel point tu es fort, jusqu'au jour où être fort reste ta seule option."Bob Marley.
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Adam Modérateur
messages : 6300 Inscrit le : 25/03/2009 Localisation : Royaume pour tous les Marocains Nationalité : Médailles de mérite :
Sujet: Re: Actualités au Moyen Orient Mer 23 Juin 2021 - 16:40
Dim 19 Jan 2020 - 22:09
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